Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.842527 2.107082 2.397618 2.740594 3.134734 3.573872 4.100799
2025-07-13 1.499977 1.872866 2.320812 2.899689 3.629721 4.522141 5.699501
2025-07-20 1.258216 1.667276 2.189521 2.907438 3.872476 5.130153 6.902415
2025-07-27 1.120716 1.559070 2.147330 2.998187 4.203845 5.860768 8.327466
2025-08-03 0.988523 1.433579 2.056905 2.998798 4.395582 6.405453 9.543972
2025-08-10 0.877976 1.321113 1.965759 2.978602 4.542943 6.888598 10.712310
2025-08-17 0.779619 1.212836 1.865043 2.926637 4.628017 7.276765 11.767617
2025-08-24 0.720754 1.156782 1.834679 2.975384 4.868375 7.921861 13.295419
2025-08-31 0.670097 1.107204 1.807485 3.023086 5.107366 8.583416 14.919242
2025-09-07 0.612837 1.040196 1.744159 3.001956 5.225157 9.049982 16.254231
2025-09-14 0.556563 0.968729 1.665558 2.944792 5.271407 9.393064 17.400825
2025-09-21 0.511139 0.911251 1.604707 2.911166 5.353251 9.802807 18.709473
2025-09-28 0.460387 0.843247 1.525647 2.849497 5.402040 10.203642 20.146976
2025-10-05 0.445655 0.840090 1.564437 3.014364 5.904441 11.530449 23.614856
2025-10-12 0.412070 0.797408 1.524589 3.022466 6.100396 12.283544 26.019415
2025-10-19 0.392465 0.779218 1.528820 3.116942 6.479610 13.447699 29.451658
2025-10-26 0.364458 0.741126 1.489596 3.117578 6.662787 14.226255 32.150776
2025-11-02 0.337217 0.701550 1.442924 3.096552 6.795793 14.911671 34.734406
2025-11-09 0.309700 0.658415 1.384236 3.042452 6.848446 15.424843 36.987021
2025-11-16 0.294161 0.639161 1.373785 3.093202 7.143430 16.520667 40.798454
2025-11-23 0.279804 0.620931 1.363514 3.142865 7.441422 17.659648 44.884095
2025-11-30 0.261115 0.591067 1.324385 3.120866 7.565475 18.397785 48.053199
2025-12-07 0.241410 0.556878 1.272011 3.061353 7.590307 18.895030 50.661232